EPB Research
The Four Economy Framework. Applied to current data every week.
Most macro research reports what already happened. By the time a slowdown reaches GDP or the jobs report, the cycle has been turning for a year or more.
EPB Research is built on a different premise. The economy moves through the same sequence in every cycle. Leading indicators turn first. The cyclical sectors of construction and manufacturing follow. Then the aggregate economy follows them.
Read the sequence in order, and you see turning points well before the headlines confirm them.
How EPB Research Works
Every week, a new piece of writing applies the sequential framework to current data.
Some weeks, it’s the leading indicators. Some weeks, it’s housing or manufacturing. Some weeks, it’s profit margins or monetary policy.
The framework doesn’t change. The data does.
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A Bit About Me
I'm Eric Basmajian, the founder of EPB Research. I built the Four Economy Framework over years of work in economic research, and the goal of this publication is simple: teach you the framework so well that you can read the cycle yourself, without depending on anyone else's opinion.
Want More?
Start with the free housing cycle guide.
Housing and residential construction are the most important sectors of the economy.
Most people watch home prices to read the housing market.
Home prices are the last domino, not the first. The guide shows you the 5-step sequence that moves before prices react.
Or see the full research. EPB Research subscribers get the cycle read every week, plus our flagship monthly Business Cycle Trends Report, and direct access.
